Has Obesity Finally Met Its Match? A Turning Point in the Fight Against Weight Gain

For the first time in over 60 years, the United States is seeing a slight decline in obesity rates, sparking hope that the trend of rising obesity may finally be reversing. New data shows a 2 percent drop in obesity rates since 2020, leading some experts to wonder if we've reached "peak obesity."

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The statistics have been staggering. Back in the 1960s, only about 13 percent of the population was considered obese, according to the CDC. Fast forward to today, and that number had skyrocketed to 43 percent, with 70 percent of Americans classified as overweight or obese. This rise has been accompanied by an increase in weight-related health issues like Type-2 diabetes, high blood pressure, stroke, and cardiovascular disease. The World Obesity Federationestimates the cost of obesity could reach a staggering $4.32 trillion annually by 2035.

While it’s too early to pinpoint the exact cause of the recent decline, many point to the growing use of GLP-1 medications, such as Ozempic and Wegovy, as a contributing factor. These drugs, initially designed to treat diabetes, have become a popular tool in the fight against obesity, with roughly one in eight Americans now using them. They’ve also shown promise in reducing other addictive behaviors, such as alcoholism, further amplifying their potential impact.

However, it's important to note that while overall obesity is decreasing, the rate of severe obesity—those with a body mass index (BMI) over 40—has hit a new peak at 10 percent. This underscores that while progress is being made, the fight against obesity is far from over.

Still, the overall trend is encouraging. Some experts even speculate that we could be at a turning point similar to the one seen with smoking in the 1960s, when public awareness and policy changes led to a dramatic decline in smoking rates over time.

But medication isn't the only solution. The National Weight Control Registry (NWCR), which tracks the habits of more than 10,000 people who have successfully lost a significant amount of weight and kept it off for years, offers key insights. Two of their most effective strategies include avoiding extreme or rigid diets and minimizing—rather than completely eliminating—ultra-processed foods.

While the battle against obesity continues, the recent drop is a hopeful sign that with the right tools, strategies, and awareness, we may finally be turning the tide on one of the most pressing public health issues of our time.

George Patsali

IFBB Certified Nutritionist & Fitness Trainer

Former Taekwondo Professional Athlete (alm. 2 decades) that worked with the best nutritionists, dietitians and personal trainers in my athletic career.

I read and implement daily the best practices and share my knowledge and honest opinion on what works best, in order to grow with everyone and have a healthier, fitter community worldwide.

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